A new generation of film festivals finds its audience

Programmers are building smaller, sharper line-ups, and distributors are following them into cities that used to be skipped — that, at least, is where the story stood when this page was filed, according to the people closest to it.

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Analysts consulted for this piece disagreed on the likely trajectory over the coming months. That disagreement is reflected here deliberately: our standard is to show the range of informed views rather than to compress them into a single forecast.

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